So, how’d I do?

Well, the regular season is over and now we can see if I had a clue or not.

AFC West
San Diego 13-3 (Pred 10-6)
Denver 8-8 (7-9)
Oakland 5-11 (6-10)
Kansas City 4-12 (5-11)

I was pretty darn close in the AFC West. I underestimated the Chargers, but I was pretty much spot on for the rest. I got the order correct, and I had a good idea of what each team would do.

AFC South
Indianapolis 14-2 (9-7)
Houston 9-7 (9-7)
Tennessee 8-8 (10-6)
Jacksonville 7-9 (6-10)

Much worse here. I thought the turnover of personnel and coaches would catch up to Indy. Ooops. This is probably my biggest mistake. I pretty much pegged Houston and Jacksonville, though. I did not think, however, that Tennessee would fall from 13-3 to 8-8. Injuries in the secondary espeically hurt them.

AFC North
Cincinnati 10-6 (4-12)
Baltimore 9-7 (13-3)
Pittsburgh 9-7 (12-4)
Cleveland 5-11 (5-11)

Quite possibly my worst division. I really did not see Cincinnati coming, and apparently neither did any of their division rivals. 6-0 in the division? Wow. The only team I was close on was Cleveland. Just a weird division all around

AFC East
New England 10-6 (13-3)
New York Jets 9-7 (8-8)
Miami 7-9 (7-9)
Buffalo 6-10 (7-9)

Ah, much better. I got the order right and was pretty close on all the records except for New England. I didn’t realize that Brady would be as iffy as he was and I thought they’d play better defense. Still, I did predict their division title.

Overall, I was 4-6 of playoff picks in the AFC. The Jets and the Bengals beat out the Titans and the Steelers. The Jets I don’t mind, because I was essentially on about what kind of team they had, but I really missed on Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and Cincinnati.

NFC West
Phoenix Cardinals 10-6 (7-9)
San Francisco 8-8 (9-7)
Seattle 5-11 (8-8)
St. Louis 1-15 (4-12)

Well, here’s where I thought there’d be more change. The trend has been that the Super Bowl loser doesn’t go to the following playoffs, not the Super Bowl winner, as in this year. For a while, my 49ers pick was looking good, but they tailed off. Seattle and St. Louis were just much worse than I anticipated. Phoenix is the big surprise, but again I would never have picked them just based on recent trends with SB losers.

NFC South
New Orleans 13-3 (11-5)
Atlanta 9-7 (10-6)
Carolina 8-8 (8-8)
Tampa Bay 3-13 (2-14)

Damn I’m good. The Saints were slightly better than expected but that’s not bad at all.

NFC North
Minnesota 12-4 (11-5)
Green Bay 11-5 (10-6)
Chicago 7-9 (11-5)
Detroit 2-14 (2-14)

3 out of 4 ain’t bad. I really overestimated the Chicago defense. I thought they’d set it up that Cutler’s bad decisions (which he is one of the worst at) would not be an issue. I was wrong. On the other hand, I did have a good feel for the rest of the teams here.

NFC East
Dallas 11-5 (11-5)
Philadelphia 11-5 (8-8)
New York Giants 8-8 (11-5)
Washington 4-12 (10-6)

Ok, so I’m a huge Jim Zorn fan. And I was wrong. I was spot on with Dallas. I was also spot on that there would be 2 11-5 teams here, I just bet on the wrong team’s line play. I really thought the offseason turnover on the O-Line would hurt the Eagles and prevent McNabb from taking advantage of the talent. I also thought that New York with it’s very good O and D-Lines would dominate lines of scrimmage. I also gave the NFC a bit too much credit because of the debacle that is Washington.

Only 3-6 here, with Philadelphia beating out New York, Phoenix beating out San Francisco, and Chicago rolling over on their belly to be scratched.

Overall, I pretty much nailed 3 out of 8 divisions. I also predicted one other division title winner. I was 7-12 in playoff picks in total. I got within one of 17 of 30 teams’ records.

In other words, I was slightly better than half-right, which makes me a half-wit, something I’m sure my ex-wife would agree with.

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